The full fleet is a subscriber benefit, supporting innovations like blockchain payment initiatives and the potential of central bank digital currency, all while prioritizing security through measures such as post-quantum cryptography.
On Radar is our running log of the industry developments, research programs, and technical standards we're tracking across Web 3, decentralized physical infrastructure, distributed ledger technology, blockchain payment initiatives, central bank digital currency, and post-quantum cryptography, as well as emerging telecommunications.
The Multilateral CBDC Fracture: Sovereign Realignment & Algorithmic Liquidity
Sovereign digital settlement rails faced a decisive structural shift following confirmed reporting from the Financial Times and Forbes that the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) concluded exploratory testing and formally departed the mBridge platform sixteen months ago. SAMA clarified that it never committed operational settlement liquidity. The exit followed the October 2024 BRICS Summit in Kazan, where Russia promoted mBridge-like architecture as a template for a sanctions-resistant "BRICS Bridge"—prompting the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) to abruptly exit mBridge and rally Western central banks and SWIFT under Project Agorá. Concurrently, automated market maker (AMM) architectures explored in Project Mariana and the multi-asset balance-sheet frameworks of the Regulated Liability Network (RLN) are defining how sovereign wholesale reserves and commercial tokenized deposits achieve programmable delivery-versus-payment (DvP) finality without centralized intermediaries. (Read the full architectural debrief on The Substrate Report).
Macro-Observability: Mapping Digital State to Physical Infrastructure
Distributed networks are increasingly analyzed through their physical and geopolitical topologies. Developed by the BIS Innovation Hub Eurosystem Centre with the Deutsche Bundesbank and De Nederlandsche Bank, Project Atlas fuses on-chain transaction data with physical autonomous system numbers (ASNs) and validator IP geolocation. By filtering wash trading and mapping cross-border capital corridors, Atlas exposes structural dependencies on concentrated cloud hosting facilities (AWS, Hetzner) and subsea fiber routes, establishing the telemetry standard for tracking both decentralized finance and decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN).
The Physical Bedrock: Multi-Orbit Quantum Agility & Chip-Scale Timing
Following NIST's release of finalized post-quantum standards (FIPS 203 ML-KEM and FIPS 204 ML-DSA), enterprise security has pivoted to operational deployment. Live demonstrations by QuSecure and Accenture across commercial LEO constellations (Starlink) prove that software-orchestrated crypto-agility can defend orbital downlinks against "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" threats without payload redesigns. Simultaneously, the NIST-on-a-Chip Program is transitioning optical frequency combs from laboratory tables to thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN) planar chips. Integrated into next-generation Chip-Scale Atomic Clocks (CSAC), these microcombs provide sub-nanosecond physical holdover essential for coordinating high-throughput distributed ledgers and multi-orbit telecom handoffs in GNSS-denied environments.

The On Radar research portfolio tracks foundational technological shifts across the substrate layers of modern computing—spanning Silicon, Network, Identity, Memory, Settlement, and Application. Below are active analyses covering sovereign DLT settlement fabrics, automated liquidity protocols, hyperscaler crypto-agility, and non-terrestrial quantum defense.
Project mBridge is a multi-lateral central bank digital currency (multi-CBDC) platform engineered to facilitate real-time, peer-to-peer cross-border payments and foreign exchange settlement without relying on legacy correspondent banking networks or traditional SWIFT messaging. Jointly developed by the BIS Innovation Hub Hong Kong Centre alongside the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the Bank of Thailand, the People’s Bank of China, the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates, and the Saudi Central Bank, the platform directly targets settlement risk, high transaction fees, and multi-day clearing delays in international trade.
The platform operates on the bespoke mBridge Ledger (mBL), a high-performance Byzantine Fault Tolerant (BFT) consensus protocol built specifically to respect sovereign monetary autonomy while enforcing cross-jurisdictional compliance. Recent operational advancements leverage a dual-center operational framework—anchored by operations centers in Beijing and Shanghai—to connect domestic digital currency rails with offshore clearing hubs.
Within the Settlement and Network layers, mBridge represents an operational blueprint for cross-border liquidity. In a major production milestone, Ant International and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) Shanghai Branch completed their first digital RMB corporate transfer of several hundred million yuan to ICBC Asia in Hong Kong. Achieving second-level atomic settlement across Free Trade upgrade accounts, the transaction demonstrates that sovereign multi-CBDC rails are actively transitioning from experimental sandboxes to live enterprise treasury operations.
Project Mariana explores the convergence of sovereign wholesale central bank digital currencies (wCBDCs) and decentralized finance (DeFi). Developed collaboratively by the BIS Innovation Hub (Swiss, Singapore, and Eurosystem Centres) together with the Bank of France, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and the Swiss National Bank, the project investigates whether Automated Market Maker (AMM) smart contracts can automate foreign exchange trading and settlement between cross-border wholesale digital currencies.
Mariana utilizes constant-product curve pricing models deployed across a permissioned, privacy-focused Layer 2 Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) architecture. By establishing a unified token standard to wrap hypothetical euro, Singapore dollar, and Swiss franc wholesale CBDCs across disparate national payment systems, the protocol tests cross-border spot foreign exchange without requiring an intermediary commercial market maker or traditional centralized order book.
Mapping to the Settlement and Application layers, Mariana provides critical evidence that algorithmic liquidity pools can replicate institutional FX trading mechanisms with automated 24/7 price discovery and instant delivery-versus-payment (DvP) finality. While Phase 1 successfully proved the technical viability of cross-border atomic FX swaps, ongoing explorations center on sovereign governance models, privacy protections, and the regulatory custody of tokenized central bank reserves.
The Regulated Liability Network (RLN) is a financial market infrastructure framework designed to operate a unified, multi-asset shared ledger. Spearheaded by UK Finance, major commercial banking institutions (including Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds, NatWest, and Citi), alongside central bank observatories such as the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the RLN addresses the fragmentation that occurs when wholesale CBDCs, stablecoins, and tokenized bank deposits operate across incompatible private ledgers.
Unlike closed central bank platforms or unregulated crypto rails, the RLN creates a partitioned, shared distributed ledger that records and settles multiple regulated liability types: central bank money (wholesale CBDC), commercial bank money (tokenized deposits), and regulated non-bank liabilities (tokenized electronic money and sovereign debt instruments). By using programmable smart contracts to orchestrate simultaneous delivery-versus-payment (DvP) and payment-versus-payment (PvP) settlement within a single legal perimeter, the RLN preserves the historic "singleness of money" across public and private commercial banking institutions.
While platforms like mBridge establish cross-border corridors between sovereign central banks, the Regulated Liability Network establishes the institutional substrate for domestic and enterprise commerce. In a substrate-aware topology, autonomous machine agents, supply chain telemetry nodes, and enterprise DePIN operators cannot rely exclusively on volatile native crypto tokens or unbacked stablecoins for institutional-scale procurement.
The RLN introduces a programmable settlement layer backed by statutory legal finality, commercial bank balance sheets, and central bank reserve access. This enables complex, conditional smart contracts—such as automated real estate completions, supply chain bill-of-lading payments, or automated microgrid power settlement—to execute programmatically with tokenized commercial deposits while maintaining full regulatory compliance and deposit insurance protection. It establishes the bridge through which institutional capital can safely interact with programmable digital infrastructure.

TAR's Radar is on, guiding you through the complexities of blockchain payment initiatives and central bank digital currency, so you can confidently navigate your waters in the era of post-quantum cryptography.
Project Atlas is an open-source data analytics and macro-observability platform developed by the BIS Innovation Hub Eurosystem Centre in direct collaboration with the Deutsche Bundesbank and De Nederlandsche Bank. The initiative addresses a structural blind spot in public policy and market infrastructure: understanding the true macroeconomic scale, systemic contagion risks, and cross-border capital flows of decentralized finance (DeFi) and cryptoasset markets.
The technical architecture of Project Atlas functions by fusing off-chain market data (centralized exchange order books, trading volume feeds, and corporate filings) with granular on-chain data directly extracted from public blockchain validator nodes. By filtering out circular transactions, internal wallet reallocations, and wash trading, Atlas establishes an attributed data pipeline that maps cross-border capital flows between geographic jurisdictions, utilizing exchange node activity and attributed wallet clusters as proxies for international liquidity movement.
Traditional blockchain exploration tools focus narrowly on smart contract logic or raw transaction hashes, divorcing economic activity from the underlying physical infrastructure. Project Atlas pioneers the observability layer of substrate-aware computing by cross-referencing on-chain liquidity flows with physical network topology.
For decentralized networks, Atlas illuminates the hidden physical concentration risks underpinning Web3. It systematically maps validator hosting infrastructure, identifying when nominally decentralized protocols depend on a handful of centralized cloud providers (such as AWS or Hetzner) or clustered geographic regions. By correlating on-chain transaction throughput with physical node telemetry, Project Atlas validates the core premise of substrate awareness: that digital ledger state cannot be separated from the physical silicon, network pipes, and jurisdictional boundaries that sustain it.

TAR's Radar is on, guiding you through the complexities of blockchain payment initiatives and central bank digital currency, so you can confidently navigate your waters in the era of post-quantum cryptography.
QuSecure develops post-quantum cybersecurity software designed to protect enterprise, defense, and government networks against emerging quantum decryption threats and active "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" (HNDL) data theft. Rather than mandating expensive, complex hardware overhauls, QuSecure’s flagship platform—QuProtect R3—implements a software-orchestrated cryptographic abstraction layer capable of dynamically upgrading and swapping cryptographic algorithms across active sessions without downtime.
The platform is structured into three primary operational pillars: automated cryptographic discovery and dependency mapping (QuProtect Recon), centralized policy control and zero-downtime algorithm injection (QuProtect Resilience), and real-time posture reporting (QuProtect Reporting). QuProtect natively incorporates finalized NIST post-quantum standards, including FIPS 203 (ML-KEM) for key encapsulation and FIPS 204 (ML-DSA) for digital signatures, aligning enterprise environments with White House NSM-10, OMB M-26-15, and CNSA 2.0 migration directives.
Operating across the Network and Identity layers, QuSecure bridges legacy datacenter infrastructure and modern zero-trust frameworks. With its recent commercial launch on the AWS Marketplace for the U.S. Intelligence Community (ICMP) and federal agencies, QuSecure provides an operational model for one-click post-quantum compliance across hyperscaler cloud estates, mission-critical communications, and commercial banking pipelines.
Multi-Orbit Post-Quantum Cryptography addresses the urgent challenge of securing satellite communications across Low Earth Orbit (LEO), Medium Earth Orbit (MEO), Geostationary Orbit (GEO), and ground uplinks against quantum decryption. Because space payloads cannot be easily serviced, modified, or physically replaced once launched, securing non-terrestrial infrastructure requires cryptographic frameworks that function reliably over high-latency, variable-bandwidth, and loss-prone orbital links without relying on dedicated hardware quantum key distribution (QKD) payloads in space.
The architectural focus centers on orchestrating quantum-resilient lattice-based key encapsulation mechanisms down to terrestrial edge gateways, tactical communication terminals, and decentralized physical infrastructure nodes. By optimizing packet sizes to accommodate the larger key material inherent to NIST-approved post-quantum algorithms, multi-orbit PQC establishes resilient, end-to-end encrypted tunnels directly between orbital nodes and ground base stations.
At the Network and Silicon interface, multi-orbit PQC is indispensable for the long-term survivability of non-terrestrial backhauls, sovereign command links, and crowdsourced DePIN relays. Successful demonstrations have validated live satellite-to-ground quantum-safe cryptographic links over commercial space assets, proving that orbital transport layers can achieve quantum resilience entirely through software-driven protocol agility.
Optical frequency combs—often termed "rulers of light"—are specialized laser sources that generate a spectrum of discrete, equidistant optical frequency lines. By establishing a direct, phase-coherent mathematical link between ultra-high optical frequencies (hundreds of terahertz) and accessible radio/microwave frequencies, frequency combs enable unprecedented precision in timekeeping, frequency synthesis, and metrology. Historically confined to large, temperature-stabilized laboratory optical tables, the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) through its NIST-on-a-Chip Program, alongside DARPA and semiconductor foundries, is actively transitioning these systems to planar photonic integrated circuits (PICs).
These microresonator-based optical frequency combs ("microcombs") leverage advanced nonlinear materials like thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN) and silicon nitride. When coupled with miniature continuous-wave pump lasers, the Kerr optical nonlinearity inside microscopic ring resonators generates microcombs capable of outputting femtosecond-level temporal accuracy and ultra-low phase noise microwaves in packages smaller than a coin.
In Substrate-Aware Networks, precision time and frequency synchronization constitute the invisible bedrock layer. Modern digital networks, 5G/6G AI-RAN cellular towers, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), and high-frequency settlement fabrics all depend on deterministic nanosecond-level time stamping. Today, global networks rely almost exclusively on GPS/GNSS satellite signals for timing reference—an external dependency that is increasingly vulnerable to physical jamming, orbital spoofing, solar weather, and space-based kinetic conflicts.
Chip-scale optical frequency combs push atomic-clock-tier stability directly to the silicon substrate. Deployed inside distributed DePIN hardware—such as RTK GNSS base stations, ADS-B relays, and non-terrestrial satellite payloads—microcombs provide autonomous, ultra-stable holdover timing for days or weeks without satellite lock. This creates a tamper-proof physical anchor for distributed consensus and high-throughput soft-radio coordination, decoupling network resilience from vulnerable space-borne timing signals.
If you're working in areas like blockchain payment initiatives or central bank digital currency, or if there's a development involving post-quantum cryptography that we should be tracking, reach out. Strategic consulting engagements often start with a conversation about what's coming next.
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